Ultimately, it could mean more Republicans in Washington — and in state capitals. In 2020, winning state legislatures mattered more than ever before. (Miami-Dade is roughly one-third Cuban, and areas where Cubans were more heavily concentrated saw the biggest swings toward Trump.) Trump ultimately didn’t win urban counties like Miami-Dade, but it is where he improved the most, in part because of his increased support among Cuban American voters. He's running against MJ Hegar. But Biden’s victory didn’t just involve winning back historically blue turf. See Your State's December 2020 Unemployment Rate The latest jobless figures by state help quantify the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic. White voters without a college degree not only stuck with Trump in 2020 — in some places, they even supported him by even greater margins. Republican Gov. (You can register to vote here.) Perhaps the second most important story in the 2020 elections has been the dominant performance of Republicans at the state level. However, he still made some gains. In fact, it looks like Wisconsin will be the tipping-point state in the Electoral College, or the state that delivered Biden the presidency, although we’re still awaiting the final vote certification in several states. However, the state is becoming more moderate, as the number of people identifying as conservative in the state dropped from 49% in 2010 to 41% in 2014. [1] It merits emphasis from the get-go that this relationship is obviously not directly causal. Even as southern states like Georgia, North Carolina and Texas moved to the left in this election, one nearby battleground did not: Florida. The latter, led by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, is preventing us from passing bi-partisan laws, like H.R.8 requiring universal background checks, that will save American lives. In a brazen step, the president invited Republican state leaders in Michigan to the White House as he and his allies try to prevent the state from certifying Joe Biden’s clear victory there. Mike Parson was elected to a second term, keeping redistricting control with the GOP. After Record 2020 Turnout, State Republicans Weigh Making It Harder To Vote February 7, 2021 11:47 AM. November 4th, 2020. Michigan . For instance, he won Maricopa County, which includes Phoenix and usually makes up 60 percent of Arizona’s total vote share, by 2 points. The Republican National Committee's Executive Committee voted on June 10, 2020, to adopt the same platform the party used in 2016. He even carried some suburban and exurban counties that Trump won in 2016, such as Williamson County outside of Austin, Texas, and New Hanover County, North Carolina (Wilmington). Democrats will have full control of the legislative and executive branch in 15 states. Complete primary results for the Republican Party in the 2020 presidential election. Poll workers help voters get ready to cast their ballots at on Nov. 3, 2020 in Atlanta. Who Is Donald Harris, Kamala Harris's Father? In our final handicapping of the 2020 season, Montana’s race shifts in the Republican’s direction. However, they did return to roughly where they were pre-2016, backing Biden by high, single-digit margins. Editors handpick every product that we feature. Arizona and Georgia will likely now be seen as key swing states, while Colorado, Virginia, Iowa and Ohio may no longer be in the conversation around battleground states. Ironically, that means they’re guaranteed goners. One way to read Trump’s rather decisive victories in Iowa and Ohio is that those states aren’t really battlegrounds anymore, and instead may have experienced a permanent shift to the right after being quite competitive prior to 2016. Of the 98 partisan chambers, Republicans will control at least 59 next year. The Republican National Committee's Executive Committee voted on June 10, 2020, to adopt the same platform the party used in 2016. 1) Flip the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Susan Collins. The other 14 states had divided government, meaning neither party had a trifecta. This page focuses on the Republican primaries that took place in Nebraska on May 12, 2020. John Boozman (AR) Contact John Boozman. And in North Carolina, Biden lost ground in places where a large share of white voters don’t have a four-year college degree. Non-Hispanic white voters without a four-year college degree, who make up a majority of the population in these three states,1Of the population age 25 years or older. Meet The 2020 Republican Candidates Challenging Trump Quartz. Let’s start with the much fabled “blue wall” that Biden won back. These states in the middle...you win enough of them and you win the presidency.". Republican state lawmakers in battleground states Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania have moved to impose new restrictions on mail-in voting for future elections. By winning Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in addition to every state Hillary Clinton carried in 2016, Biden clinched the presidency. The 6th term Republican is the longest serving Senator in the state's history Update: 2020 Election if All States Allocated Electoral Votes Like Maine and Nebraska February 4, 2021 What’s more, the big metropolitan areas in each state have also moved sharply toward the Democrats in recent years, with the Denver area and Washington, D.C., suburbs in northern Virginia becoming deep blue. All in all, the shifts we witnessed in the 2020 election give us at least some clues to how the Electoral College map may look going forward. Granted, Trump carried each of these states by less than 1 point in 2016, but Biden’s margins were slim and it's unclear moving forward whether these states will remain blue. President Donald Trump has invited Republican state lawmakers from Michigan to the White House on Friday, according to a person familiar with … The last 4 presidential elections here ended with a strong 60% or higher Republican vote. That means Republicans could potentially exit the 2020 cycle with majorities in 62 of the country’s 99 state legislative bodies. On October 16, 2020, Gallup polling found that 31% of Americans identified as Democrats, 31% identified as Republican, and 36% as Independent. By Meghan Roos On 12/4/20 at 6:06 PM EST. Some Republican States Would Fight Forced Utility Emissions Cuts Under Biden Climate Agenda By Reuters , Wire Service Content Dec. 2, 2020 By Reuters , Wire Service Content Dec. 2, 2020… The 2020 presidential race is over. Considering both states have a large share of white voters without a college degree, this makes sense, as these results speak to just how entrenched this group has become with the GOP. Republicans had 21 trifectas, and Democrats had 15. However, it wasn’t a uniform swing. Part of the reason Trump was able to bolster his margin in Florida and move the state further to the right was because of his improved showing among Hispanic voters, especially Cuban Americans. We may earn commission from the links on this page. This includes Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. Iowa, Nevada and Ohio ended up with roughly the same margin as in 2016, despite polls showing a close race in both Iowa and Ohio. 75 Pennsylvania Republicans Ask State to Dispute 2020 Elections in Congress. Biden was also aided by the fact that both of these states are more racially diverse than states in the Upper Midwest. Some of them featured very tight races in 2016, but the 2020 results, if anything, suggest that a couple may not really be battleground states moving forward — at least in presidential contests. In Texas, for instance, Biden became the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry Tarrant County (Fort Worth) since 1964, and in North Carolina, he improved on Clinton’s margins in the two most populous counties in the state, Mecklenburg (Charlotte) and Wake (Raleigh). By: Stephen Fowler, Abigail Censky, Ben Giles, and; Brett Neely; Share this page . 2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map Electoral Vote Map. By Adam Brewster and Caitlin Huey-Burns January 25, 2021 / 6:00 AM / CBS News 2020 State Primary Republican State Primary. the tipping-point state in the Electoral College, predominantly suburban and exurban counties, moved sharply toward the GOP in the Trump era, lost Georgia’s governorship by about 1 point, areas where Cubans were more heavily concentrated, Washington, D.C., suburbs in northern Virginia. The former currently holds the most diverse class of representatives our country has seen in the legislative body's 230-year history. Caption. Gov. It isn’t clear that our state Republican legislatures have the courage to make that choice. Pennsylvania. Had we not meet today and cast our votes, the President’s pending election contest would have been effectively mooted. Note that the dates and terms of participation for presidential preference primaries and caucuses sometimes differ from those that apply to primaries for state-level and other federal offices, which are the subject of this article. She's running against Captain Mark Kelly, who's the husband of former Congresswoman Gabby Giffords. Biden was able to win these three states by improving on Clinton’s margins in predominantly suburban and exurban counties around big cities like Detroit, Milwaukee and Philadelphia, where more white voters with a college degree backed the Democratic presidential ticket — a trend that was true across the country. Notes On The State Of The Senate Rasmussen Reports. As Florida — generally considered a purple state — voted more Republican for the fourth cycle in a row, five other ostensibly purple states that in the end went pretty decisively blue. Does Your State Allow Vote by Mail? In wake of 2020 election, state GOP lawmakers aim to change election laws. "The bills are unnecessary by Republicans' own assessments of the 2020 election and designed to limit access and help Republicans stop losing elections in Georgia. Democratic or Republican presidential vote share margin by state, from 2000 to 2020. But by narrowing his deficit with Hispanic voters in addition to once again running up huge margins in more rural parts of the state, Trump managed to win a larger share of Florida’s vote than he did in 2016. Republicans will control both legislative chambers in 24 of the 36 states in which legislatures draw district lines for U.S. Congress, the state legislature itself, or both, according to the conference. Biden won these two states in large part by improving upon Democrats’ performance in each state’s metro area. Republican And Democratic States 2020. Democrats won a U.S. Senate seat in Arizona for the first time since 1988 and lost Georgia’s governorship by about 1 point. RSLC 2020 Key Victories. State lawmakers are now considering legislation that could roll back some laws that made it easy for voters to cast ballots by mail. In a recent hearing, Ingham County Clerk Barb Byrum urged lawmakers to "acknowledge that the Big Lie was just that — a lie," adding, "I would ask that you announce to the public what you know to … Click here for more information about the Democratic primaries.. In Michigan, another swing state that Biden won amid record voter turnout, Republican lawmakers have held more than 26 hours of oversight hearings about the administration of the 2020 elections.. In both states, Biden did better in the more diverse and well-educated major metropolitan areas, but that proved insufficient. After moving away from the GOP in the Obama era, and sticking with Democrats in 2016, Colorado and Virginia went for Biden by more than 10 points in 2020, calling into question just how “swingy” they really are. Even excluding the state of New York as an extreme outlier, states with Democratic governors have 138.58 deaths per million from coronavirus, still over twice as many coronavirus deaths per million as deaths in states with Republican governors. This was certainly true in 2020, as Joe Biden edged out President Trump thanks to narrow victories in key swing states such as Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — all states Trump carried in 2016. The following is a list of current governors of U.S. states and territories.. She's running against Sara Gideon. Perhaps the second most important story in the 2020 elections has been the dominant performance of Republicans at the state level. In a year full of the unprecedented, RSLC and state Republicans raised record amounts of money to both defend our conservative majorities in target states and go on offense in places you might never expect. After comfortably backing then-GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney by 9 points in 2012, Arizona shifted more than 5 points toward the Democrats in 2016 and then another 4 points in 2020 to hand Biden a slim 0.3-point win. Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States Presidential Election The electoral map for the 2020 election. Republicans Fared Well In 2020 Election Races — Just Not Trump Democrat Joe Biden is president-elect, ... especially in Republican-leaning states. Share this page on Twitter; Share this page on Facebook; Share this page on Email; Share this page on Print; Primary Content. At the very least, the Trump GOP appears to be a poor fit in these states, as both have relatively diverse populations — Colorado’s population is about one-fifth Hispanic and Virginia’s is about one-fifth Black — and their white residents are more likely to hold a four-year college degree than those in any other battleground state. Population of the 24 fully R-controlled states: 134,766,812 Population of the 15 fully D-controlled states: 120,326,393 Donald Trump's fate is in the hands of these major Electoral College votes. All rights reserved. After all, as we saw in 2020, it’s small shifts that can change the outcome of an election. Let’s start with the much fabled “blue wall” that Biden won back. CNN to host town hall with President Joe Biden. Republicans In States Hold Overwhelming Control In Post-2020 Congressional Redistricting Posted by Fuzzy Slippers Thursday, November 19, 2020 at 9:00am | 11/19/2020 - 9:00am “Republicans are set to control the redistricting of… 43% of the entire U.S. House. and tend to flip between red and blue each election cycle. This includes Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. 2) Win the state’s four Electoral College votes, 1) Win the state’s 16 Electoral College votes, 2) Flip control of the Republican-led Michigan State House. Idaho is another state known for having a Republican winning streak. States that held both gubernatorial and U.S. Senate elections in 2020 See also: States with both gubernatorial and U.S. Senate elections in 2020 The struggle to contain the coronavirus pandemic has opened a new front in the long-running conflict between blue cities and red states. Share. In fact, it was thanks to gains in these types of places that Biden was able to offset Trump’s otherwise much stronger performance in rural areas, as well as Trump’s slight improvement in the city of Philadelphia proper. “The bills are unnecessary by Republicans’ own assessments of the 2020 election and designed to limit access and help Republicans stop losing elections in Georgia. have moved sharply toward the GOP in the Trump era. Republican governors in 18 states have yet to issue a mask mandate: Idaho, Utah, Arizona, Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Iowa, … And while some pre-election polling suggested these voters might not back Trump to the same extent as they did four years ago, it appears that wasn’t the case. Updated November 16, 2020. The Right Black Bodysuit Will Upgrade Your Closet, Lip Balms That'll Save Your Dry, Chapped Lips, How to Help Texans During the Winter Storm Crisis, Marie Claire's Guide to the 2020 Election, This content is created and maintained by a third party, and imported onto this page to help users provide their email addresses. While the same forces at work in Arizona and Georgia were also a part of the story in North Carolina and Texas, these two states still ultimately remained in Trump’s column. In Michigan, another swing state that Biden won amid record voter turnout, Republican lawmakers have held more than 26 hours of oversight hearings about the administration of the 2020 … Rachel Epstein is the associate editor at Marie Claire, where she covers culture, lifestyle, and politics. Kamala Harris Is Married to Her Number One Fan. This is a list of all current Republican U.S. Republicans had complete control over the state legislature heading into the 2020 election, and Democrats needed to gain five seats in the state senate to have a voice in redistricting. (Nebraska has a nonpartisan, unicameral Legislature.) Outside of these four states, the picture is equally grim. Ironically, that means they’re guaranteed goners. Iowa: Republicans kept the State … Some formerly blue states returned to their pre-2016 status; some once-red states lurched to the left, in some cases even voting Democratic for the first time in decades; and some competitive states didn’t shift much at all. 2) Compete for the state’s 38 Electoral College votes, 3) Break unified GOP control of the state government by flipping the Texas State House, 1) Win the state’s 10 Electoral College votes, 2) Protect Democratic Governor Tony Evers’ veto power by preventing GOP supermajorities in the Wisconsin State Senate and State Assembly, 3) Lay the groundwork to flip the state legislature in 2022. Date November 3, 2020 – January 20, 2021 (2 months, 2 weeks and 3 days) Location Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada Caused by Claims of Electoral Fraud … The 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries and caucuses were a series of elections which took place in many U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories.These events elected most of the 2,550 delegates to send to the Republican National Convention.This election selected the Republican Party's nominee for president of the United States in the 2020 election. In the United States, … Yes, each of these states are among the more rural states — and Trump did have an advantage in the most rural parts of these states (see Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, where he won an electoral vote) — but it still wasn’t enough to overcome the margins Biden ran up in the more populous parts of these states. Biden’s gains in the Reno area, which has a higher share of white voters with a college degree, cancelled out shifts elsewhere in the state, but it’s possible Democrats could have trouble holding onto Nevada in the years ahead. 2) Win the state’s nine Electoral College votes, 1) Win the state’s 29 Electoral College votes, 2) Break unified Republican control of the state government by flipping the Florida State House, 1) Flip both U.S. Senate seats up for election, 2) Compete for the state’s 16 Electoral College votes, 3) Break unified Republican control of the state government by flipping the Georgia State House. David Shafer, chairman of the Republican Party in Georgia said in a statement Monday that Georgia Republicans met at the State Capitol today to vote for President Trump to preserve the president’s rights under Georgia law. While Nevada is far more ethnically diverse than Iowa and Ohio (its population is about 29 percent Hispanic), it’s similar to those two Midwestern states in that its white voters are far less likely to have a four-year college degree than in many other battleground states. The pandemic of 2020 is the worst in a century. Republican Senators; Republican Senators. Meanwhile, Biden did hold steady in Nevada, but the fact the state didn’t nudge toward the left could spell opportunity for Republicans down the road. The other 27 states with Republican governors have a total population of 150.2 million and recorded 19,629 deaths in August. He also did worse than Clinton in some rural North Carolina counties with large Black populations and in many heavily Latino Texas counties along the U.S.-Mexico border. Minnesota: Republicans kept the majority in the state Senate, so the seven congressional districts will be a bipartisan endeavor. 2) Win the state’s 11 Electoral College votes, 3) Break unified Republican control of the state government by flipping one or both state legislative chambers. While there is nothing in the Constitution requiring electors, which are typically comprised of prominent party officials, of voting with the will of their state, they normally do. 1) Flip the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Joni Ernst. You may be able to find more information about this and similar content at piano.io, Kamala Harris Is "Momala" to Two Stepchildren, Joe Biden's Grandkids Are Among His Biggest Fans, Joe Biden's Son Beau and the Story of His Death, Kamala Once Clashed With Biden Over Abortion, Where Kamala Harris Stands on Gun Control, Unraveling the Latest Kamala Harris Controversy. Share . Meanwhile, Florida’s shift to the right could make it a firmer linchpin in Republican electoral strategy, as Democrats will likely turn to North Carolina and Texas in the hopes that demographic change can make them winnable in the near future. In a recent hearing, Ingham County Clerk Barb Byrum urged lawmakers to "acknowledge that the Big Lie was just that — a lie," adding, "I would ask that you announce to the public what you know to … Presidential elections are decided at the margins, meaning how a handful of states shift from one election to the next can be enough to cast one party out of the White House and bring the other one in. © 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. With as few as 42 state legislative seats determining as much as a 136-seat swing in the U.S. House of Representatives, everything was on the line – the future of our Party and, more importantly, the future of our country. Blue denotes the 306 electoral votes for Biden, while Red denotes the 232 electoral votes for Trump. Coupled with Trump’s slight improvement among Hispanic voters, that meant the president was able to reduce his deficit in Clark County (Las Vegas), home to almost 70 percent of the state’s vote, by about 1 point while also still winning more votes in many of the state’s rural counties. The size and scope of these shifts varied, and many may not be lasting. PDF's can be read with NVDA and JAWS screen readers using Adobe Reader, which is a free download available here. The results could domino through politics in America, helping the GOP draw favorable congressional and state legislative maps by ensuring Democrats remain the minority party in key state legislatures. Here, a list and map of the swing states that could determine a Democratic or Republican victory in the 2020 presidential election. In Michigan, another swing state that Biden won amid record voter turnout, Republican lawmakers have held more than 26 hours of oversight hearings about the administration of the 2020 elections.. If you want to help make a difference, whether you live in a swing state or not, find out how to volunteer for Swing Left and invest in a progressive future here. Mike Dunleavy, a Republican, extended the state’s emergency declaration while health experts urged him to take more drastic measures, such as issuing a mask mandate. Twenty-eight states have introduced, prefiled, or carried over 106 restrictive bills this year (as compared to 35 such bills in fifteen states on February 3, 2020). With the general election quickly approaching on November 3, it's important to understand where to focus our efforts. With the help of Swing Left—a national grassroots organization founded after the 2016 election—we can make a difference by paying attention to the 12 Super States, a.k.a. “Despite national Democratic success, the results of state legislative elections put Republicans in place to be the long-term winners of the election of 2020.” The 2020 Census dictates how congressional and state legislative districts will be re-drawn. President Trump is expected to be renominated at the party's August convention. Republican Primary Winners Libertarian and Undeclared Nominees. He also surged in the Atlanta metro area, improving on Clinton’s margin in the 10 counties that make up the Atlanta Regional Commission by 9 points, enabling him to win Georgia. "Swing states are the most critical states in the upcoming election. See complete delegate counts and how the top Republican candidates stack up. He's running against former governor John Hickenlooper. Republicans had complete control over the state legislature heading into the 2020 election, and Democrats needed to gain five seats in the state senate to have a voice in redistricting. The GOP flipped both legislative chambers in New Hampshire and the state House in Alaska while Democrats failed to regain control of a single state legislative body anywhere in the country. After Record 2020 Turnout, State Republicans Weigh Making It Harder To Vote. Not every battleground state saw movement in 2020, though. Republican Nominations by Write-in. Electors across the country are meeting in their respective states to formally cast their votes for the 2020 presidential election, as is Constitutionally required. Biden did gain some ground in urban and suburban counties in these states, but less populous areas stuck with Trump — or even moved further to the right — keeping both states firmly in Republican hands. We are living in an unhappy time. They're essentially the tipping point of who's going to win the electoral college, then win the presidency," explains Swing Left National Field Director Marisa Kanof. the swing states, that are comprised of mixed populations (urban, suburban, rural, etc.) He also won by breaking through in two traditionally Republican states in the Sun Belt, Arizona and Georgia, which have gradually shifted blue in the Trump era. In 2018, Senate seats were up for election in 10 states with a Democratic incumbent that Trump won and one state with a Republican incumbent that Clinton won. "You look at the 50 states and you have the 15 to 20 that Democrats are going to win and the 15 to 20 that Republicans are going to win. The fact these two states ended up in Biden’s win column wasn’t a total surprise, though, as the 2018 midterm elections foreshadowed Biden’s potential to carry each state. In 2016, Republican support was just under 60%, at 59.3%. Dan Sullivan (AK) Contact Dan Sullivan. Republicans in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, New Mexico, and Nevada entered competing slates of electors for President Donald Trump on Monday as Electoral College members in six contested battleground states officially cast their ballots for Democrat Joe Biden.
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